“He’s a very talented racehorse.…..better suited at Eagle Farm.”
Race 8, 1200m
The first Group 1 of the Brisbane winter carnival has been moved away from its eponymous home given the amount of rain in Brisbane this week with Mazu (3.20) set to start an overwhelming favourite.
The Team Snowden bay is unbeaten this preparation having dominated in age-group sprints in Sydney, most recently in the Arrowfield Sprint where he had the better of a couple of well-credentialed opponents in Paulele (9.00) and In The Congo.
Crediting his maturity with the decision have a gelding procedure, which has seen him relax more readily and find a level of consistency, the camp this week made comparisons with Redzel, who won his first major in this back in 2017 on route to capturing the inaugural Everest later that year.
He’ll jump from the middle of the line and should get a smooth passage on-speed but looks short enough around the 3.20 mark.
A handful of runners have progressed on from the Victory Stakes where Count De Rupee (9.50) (in below tweet) found something extra in the final 50m to edge past Scallopini late on and claim a maiden stakes win.
He’s a very talented racehorse who met with support when markets were first released.
Better suited at Eagle Farm, he’s my tip to take this out.
Rothfire (12.00) comes out of the same race with his much-anticipated campaign launch not exactly going to plan as the closing pack overran him in the final furlong after he had established a decent lead up the straight.
Injuries have really taken their toll on this horse and he doesn’t look the same animal that raced with such distinction in his juvenile season.
Godolphin will be represented by Kementari (6.50) with the now 7YO enjoying somewhat of a career renaissance in recent times after a failed stint at stud and having earned a reputation as a ‘non-winner’ upon resumption.
He took out The Buffering here on New Year’s Day and the Hall Mark Stakes on the last day of the Sydney carnival courtesy of a brave ride by Nash Rawiller.
Nash stays aboard and he fared favourably at the draw which augurs well for his chances.
With Jamie Richards having departed for Hong Kong, the 10,000 marks the first outing for Kiwi mare Entriviere (11.00) under new trainer Mark Walker, back in the Land of the Long White Cloud following a lengthy stint in Singapore.
She jumps from the extreme outside but does boast an excellent fresh record and goes in the wide exotics.
My Tip: Count De Rupee (9.50) (win)
South Australian Derby
Race 8, 2500m
Across in South Australia, the Adelaide Racing Carnival continues in earnest with the stayers taking centre stage this weekend.
This will be the third Derby that Alegron (2.90) has contested with the Godolphin runner beaten into the minor placings at Flemington and Randwick despite wholehearted performances on either occasion.
His prospects of a breakthrough received no harm after a comprehensive win in the St Leger on Anzac Day and class should carry him a long way in this.
John Allen has had a mortgage on this race in recent seasons with the affable Irishman bidding for a fifth Derby in seven seasons aboard the emerging Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-trained Detonator Jack (3.90).
He’s looked the goods over three starts in Melbourne but faces a few more seasoned rivals here and fared badly at the barrier draw.
Happy to risk at the prices.
Jungle Magnate (5.50) got the stitch on Derby day during the spring having been ridden aggressively to take up the running down the back but he’s come back in good order and won the lead-in Chairman’s Stakes in good fashion here a fortnight ago.
Expecting a quiet ride again from the draw and he should get his chance to close off with the extra trip no concern.
The best of the local hopes is surely Harleymoven (9.50), who settled last in what was a very genuinely run Chairman’s and finished within a length of the winner, who didn’t cover as much ground in the run.