Lewis Hamilton can win the F1 World Drivers’ Championship at the US Grand Prix if results go his way… and there are plenty of F1 betting fans willing him over the line!
Hamilton leads title rival Sebastian Vettel by 59 points as the Formula One circus heads to Austin, Texas.
If Hamilton wins and Vettel fails to make it into the top five then the Mercedes driver will win his fourth world title.
But it’s obviously not as easy as that! Hamilton is the 17/20 favourite to win the US Grand Prix but Vettel is not giving up just yet. His Ferrari engine has let him down in the last few weeks but the German will be eying victory in Texas this weekend.
Bet on Lewis Hamilton
Hamilton does not need to win this Grand Prix… but he wants to. The Brit has won eight races this year, four of which have come in his last five outings. His only blemish amid a Ferrari meltdown has been a second-place finish at the Malaysian Grand Prix when the more nimble Red Bulls took advantage of the track conditions.
The US Grand Prix is made for a Mercedes. Two massive straights and a relatively easy winding mid-section play to the Mercedes strengths. There are very few twists and turns here, so the Mercedes can run flat out for much of the race.
Hamilton’s mechanics, meanwhile, seem to have figured out the gremlins that have been hiding in the W08 car, which is now running smoothly once again. This is Hamilton’s race to lose.
Bet on Sebastian Vettel
Vettel is the man who can stop Hamilton but to do so the German needs an engine that can hold out the race! A failed spark plug ruined his chances of success in Suzuka two weeks ago and the German will be desperate not to repeat that catastrophe.
Vettel has won this Grand Prix once before, in 2013. Unfortunately for him, Hamilton has won it in all five of the other times the US Grand Prix has been held since 2007! Can Vettel get one on his rival here this weekend? It’s hard to see where to be frank. The weather should be fine and tyre strategy shouldn’t come into it. Vettel will have to hope for a perfect qualifying lap and a fast drive.
US Grand Prix qualifying
Hamilton reigns supreme in Texas and in qualifying he has been the master this season. He’s locked up the front of the grid 10 times to Vettel’s three. And crucially there are two mega straights on this Texas circuit that should give Hamilton valuable seconds when he puts his foot on that monstrous Mercedes engine.
Hamilton is 4/7 to pole in qualifying, with Vettel at 11/4. Valtteri Bottas, Hamilton’s Mercedes team-mate, is 11/2. But the Finn has not produced his best racing this year and Kimi Raikkonen at 14/1 is a better bet to pole, if you don’t fancy the slim odds of Hamilton.
US Grand Prix race betting
Away from Hamilton and Vettel, a smart bet for this race is to back the Red Bulls. Max Verstappen and Daniel Ricciardo would both challenge Hamilton for the title if they had his car. Red Bull is dangerously close to matching Mercedes for sheer power, and they have a nimbler car. This isn’t a race for flexibility over speed, Texas is always going to be a brute force venue. But the Red Bulls should be backed for the podium places.
Ricciardo made it a fourth podium in five races last weekend in Japan, while Verstappen added to his race win in Malaysia with second in Suzuka. Verstappen is perhaps the more favoured driver at 6/5 to get a podium spot, but Ricciardo at 6/4 is an equally good shout.